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Image Credit: Lucid Motors

Lucid Shares Fall 7% as Analysts Warn Uber Deal May Have Limited Financial Impact

Shares of Lucid Motors fell more than 7% in the first minutes of Friday’s session, retracing part of Thursday’s 36% surge that followed the electric vehicle maker’s announcement of a partnership with Uber and autonomous driving startup Nuro.

Under the agreement, Uber plans to purchase 20,000 Lucid Gravity SUVs equipped with Nuro’s Level 4 autonomous driving technology over the next six years.

The first vehicles are expected to be deployed in late 2026.

As part of the deal, Uber will invest $300 million in Lucid through a private placement priced at the 30-day volume-weighted average price and subject to an 18-month lock-up period.

While the partnership was initially met with investor enthusiasm, several analysts cautioned that the financial implications may be limited.

Additionally, the EV maker issued a statement minutes before the deal, informing that it plans to execute a reverse stock split.

BofA Securities analyst John Murphy reiterated an Underperform rating and $1.00 price target, citing continued risks tied to Lucid’s product roadmap following the departure of CEO Peter Rawlinson earlier this year.

“Although the announcement is a positive development, it remains unclear what the financial ramifications are outside the sale of incremental 20,000+ vehicles and the Uber investment,” Murphy wrote.

He added that there is little visibility into potential revenue-sharing opportunities.

Stifel’s Stephen Gengaro, who maintained a Hold rating and $3.00 price target, noted that while the entry into the robotaxi market is a “positive that could yield material long-term value,” key questions remain about execution and monetization.

Gengaro pointed out that Uber or its third-party fleet partners will own and operate the vehicles, not Lucid, potentially limiting recurring revenue streams.

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas reiterated an Equalweight rating and $3.00 target, calling the deal “a demonstration of LCID recognizing its key strategic position in the broader autonomy ecosystem.”

However, Jonas stopped short of calling the partnership a near-term financial catalyst, instead emphasizing the potential longer-term value of Lucid’s software-defined vehicle platform.

The analyst added that the partnership can be the first of many “strategic opportunites” for the Newark-based EV maker.

Following Thursday’s surge in Lucid shares, Morgan Stanley’s price target for the EV maker is now below current levels. The stock closed the previous session at $3.12 after having soared 36%.

Benchmark’s Mickey Legg upgraded his price target to $7.00 from $5.00 and reiterated a Buy rating, calling the agreement a “clear strategic win” that brings capital, credibility, and “two world-class partners.”

Legg also noted the company’s upcoming 1-for-10 reverse stock split, scheduled for a shareholder vote on August 18, as a potential further catalyst.

Speaking to Bloomberg, interim CEO Marc Winterhoff dismissed speculation that Lucid’s proposed reverse stock split was aimed at avoiding a potential Nasdaq delisting.

The German executive said the company’s shares remain well above the $1 threshold required to maintain its listing and framed the move as a strategic step to reduce volatility and broaden institutional ownership.

Cláudio Afonso is the Founder and Editor of EV, an independent electric vehicle news publication owned by CARBA, the company he founded in early 2021. Between 2022 and 2024 he worked in European corporate communications at Nio, and he returned to lead EV in April 2024. He is based in Porto, Portugal.